The Top Risks for 2024: Risk Priorities Are Shifting

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グローバルの1,143人の経営幹部および取締役を対象とした世界的な調査では、経済的逆風、人材問題、新興テクノロジー、サイバー脅威、地政学的な出来事が2024年のリスク状況に及ぼす影響を浮き彫りにしています。

この調査は、ビジネスリーダーが今後12ヶ月を見通した際に念頭に置いている36のリスクについての見解を得ることを目的とし、2023年9月から10月にかけてオンラインで実施されました。北米43％、ヨーロッパ16％、アジア太平洋地域19％、中南米、中東、インド、アフリ22％の企業の代表者から洞察を得ました。

今後12ヶ月に企業が直面する最も重大な不確実性を理解するための背景を知るために、本調査で最も評価の高かった10のリスクテーマをランク順に列挙し解説します。

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Cybersecurity is a major concern over the near term. Cyber threats are the third-rated risk for the next 12 months, elevated from 15th in last year’s survey.

This elevated concern reflects growing recognition of a complex cyber-risk landscape that is impacted by the exponential curve of technological advances.
But other forces, such as increasing reliance on third parties, also contribute to the threat landscape.

Third-party risks rise in importance. With greater reliance on third parties to perform critical business services, executives are increasingly focused on the risks that may emerge in light of these relationships. Among all 36 risks considered by executives in this year’s survey, risks linked to third parties increased the most from the prior year, moving from the 17th position last year to the fourth position for 2024.

Concerns over regulatory oversight have heightened for the near term. Regulatory risk took a dive during the COVID-19 pandemic as myriad other risk concerns were rated higher. The fifth-rated risk overall this year (up from 16th last year), this risk can hit an industry hard as well as have pervasive effects across industries.

Geopolitical events drive notable changes in risk perceptions. Based on the responses submitted prior to October 7, 2023, when events in Israel and Gaza suddenly erupted, no risks were rated at the “Significant Impact” level for 2024 (as defined by our survey methodology), whereas after this date four risks are rated at this level: economic conditions (including inflationary pressures), cyber threats, ability to attract and retain talent, and third-party risks.

Boards should consider the above risk themes and takeaways in evaluating their risk oversight focus for the coming year in the context of the company’s risks inherent in its operations. If senior leadership has not identified or prioritized these issues as matters to consider in managing the business going forward, directors should consider their relevance to the company’s strategy and ask why not.

Go deeper: Read more here.

(Board Perspectives — Issue 171)

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