Executive Perspectives on Top Risks for 2024 and 2034

Tech challenges, economic pressures, regulatory scrutiny and resilience are among the top risks for CLOs and GCs

In the ever-evolving realm of in-house legal practice, staying ahead of the curve is not merely a strategic choice; it’s an imperative. To navigate the intricate terrain of today’s legal landscape effectively, general counsel (GC) and chief legal officers (CLOs) must be acutely aware of the risks to their organizations that loom on the horizon. Our latest Top Risks Survey sheds light on the pressing concerns faced by today’s in-house legal leaders and teams.

Among the top concerns for CLOs and GCs include cyber threats, talent and the economy. Interestingly, these three risks mirror those in the overall global results, signaling the gravity and pervasiveness of these challenges in every market and industry. The survey also suggests the seriousness of many of the risks, with several factors showing up on both the 2024 and 2034 lists.

The broad spectrum that the risks identified encompass underscores the multifaceted nature of the challenges faced by in-house legal teams in today’s dynamic environment.

Overview of top risks for 2024

The top risks that leaders in the legal profession see in 2024 fall into three categories:

1. Cyber and technology challenges

In a time where technology permeates every aspect of business, it’s clear from the survey that cyber threats are of paramount concern, as this is the top-ranked risk issue for CLOs and GCs. The growth of malicious actors utilizing sophisticated techniques, from ransomware to phishing, continues to raise the risks and stakes for organizations on multiple fronts, including regulatory and legal ramifications. The legal perspective accentuates the concern, focusing on the culpability and liability of organizations in the event of a cyber threat or breach. The loss of customer/client data brings forth significant legal consequences, especially with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s recently finalized reporting requirements for public companies that have experienced a cyber breach. With few exceptions, failure to report a breach within four business days could result in regulatory fines and scrutiny, elevating the legal exposure that CLOs and GCs must grapple with.

It is clear that security and privacy have become inextricably linked as disruptive innovations like smart devices and sensitive data such as biometric data continue to grow. Thinking of those areas together is essential for reducing potential litigation and regulatory enforcement penalties.

Also high on the list of risks is the inability to utilize rigorous data analytics. Legal departments and law firms are facing a pivotal challenge in leveraging data analytics for market intelligence and operational efficiency. Unlike some other organizational functions, corporate legal departments and the legal sector in general have been slower in adopting advanced technologies compared with other functions and industries. The traditional mindset and ongoing challenges in recruiting skilled personnel to support and drive technology advancement, particularly given today’s talent gaps, are evident. This challenge intersects with the broader theme of technological progression, especially in the face of the growth of technologies like generative artificial intelligence (AI).

Another highly ranked technology risk relates to existing operations and legacy IT infrastructure. Legal entities find themselves grappling with the inadequacies of their current technology infrastructure. The inability to meet performance expectations poses a significant challenge, especially when juxtaposed with “born digital” competitors that inherently possess technological advantages. This theme underscores the urgency for CLOs and GCs to embrace technological evolution.

In addition, GCs and CLOs expressed concern about the rapid speed of disruptive innovations propelled by emerging technologies and market forces. Legal leaders must stay agile to adapt to these innovations, ensuring that their practices remain relevant and competitive.

2. Economic and external pressures

High on the list of risks for legal professionals are economic conditions, including inflationary pressures. Running a successful legal practice (stand-alone or within a business) becomes more complex as costs rise across various aspects of the function, demanding strategic financial management.

Tied closely to concerns about the economy and inflationary pressures, CLOs and GCs are worried about the risks of increased labor costs. The broader economic conditions over the past couple of years have made everything more expensive, from running the business to engaging new technologies. Legal teams must navigate these challenges while ensuring operational success, often facing the dilemma of aligning the need for skilled personnel with budget constraints.

Another external factor CLOs and GCs are seeing as a risk is pandemic-related government policies and regulation. Interestingly, these legal leaders rank this risk issue much higher than other executives do. The lingering impact of the pandemic continues to influence legal considerations, with government policies and regulations shaping the operational landscape. Legal professionals must navigate complexities arising from pandemic-related measures, ensuring compliance and adaptability.

Regulatory dynamics are evolving swiftly. Adapting to these changes is imperative, requiring proactive measures to ensure compliance and mitigate legal risks.

3. Regulatory and organizational resilience

As expected, CLOs and GCs are concerned about heightened regulatory changes and scrutiny. Regulatory dynamics are evolving swiftly. Adapting to these changes is imperative, requiring proactive measures to ensure compliance and mitigate legal risks.

The unforeseen can strike at any moment, and CLOs and GCs are tasked with helping ensure that their organizations are sufficiently resilient and agile to manage unexpected crises, but many leaders in the legal profession view this as a risk. Crisis preparedness has become a crucial aspect of risk management.

Lastly, engaging with external entities introduces a spectrum of risks. CLOs and GCs are well aware that the organization’s work and collaboration with partners and vendors introduce a broad spectrum of third-party risks, including but not limited to potential legal liability, that must be assessed and managed from a legal and regulatory standpoint.

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Overview of top risks for 2034

The 10-year outlook for legal leaders bears many resemblances to the 2024 rankings, but the risks are not identical.

Increases in labor costs moved up two slots to number one in 2034, with cyber threats down just one. Clearly, leaders do not see any signs of these challenges waning over the next decade.

The imminent baby boomer “retirement cliff” exacerbates the already-existing talent shortage, with a growing scarcity of qualified professionals in the job market. CLOs and GCs anticipate a sustained rise in labor costs due to heightened competition for talent that will become increasingly hard to find. This long-term outlook underscores the need for proactive people strategies to address persistent workforce dynamics and ensure successful talent acquisition and retention.

CLOs and GCs continue to see cyber threats as a critical risk over the next decade due to the increasing number of bad actors and nation-states conducting attacks. A prevailing view among many organizations is that a cyber breach may be inevitable within the next 10 years. This recognition stems from the growing sophistication of technologies and malicious entities in the cyber landscape. CLOs and GCs emphasize staying actively involved in cybersecurity efforts, understanding data protection measures and implementing proactive solutions. This includes decentralizing data and adapting to new regulations to safeguard against evolving cyber threats and ensure privacy compliance.

The other top-of-mind risk for both 2024 and 2034 is existing operations and legacy IT infrastructure unable to meet performance expectations. This reflects the swift pace of technological advancements expected over the next 10 years and the concerns of CLOs and GCs about keeping pace within their functions. It also reveals their concerns about the organization’s overall ability to remain competitive.

New entrants to the 2034 risk list are related to the data and technological landscape, such as ensuring privacy and compliance, the inability to use data analytics, and digital transformation and skills shortages. Also noted are talent management and workforce dynamic risks, such as attracting, developing and retaining top talent, as well as cultural sustainability amid environmental changes. As noted earlier, there will be ongoing challenges to recruit and retain qualified talent as the competition for skilled people intensifies and the pool of available workers shrinks as more workers retire without a commensurate number of people entering the workforce. The risk of sustaining organizational culture amid changes in the overall work environment highlights the need for adaptive leadership and strategies to preserve core values.

Rounding out the new entrants to the 10-year view are market dynamics and external-focus related risks, including substitute products and services that affect the viability of our business and the growing focus on climate change and other sustainability policies, regulations and expanding disclosure requirements as well as expectations of key stakeholders.

These newly ranked risks are key to understanding what’s on the minds of CLOs and GCs as they rethink their business strategies to stay on top of headwinds. They underscore the need for holistic and forward-thinking strategies to ensure the long-term success and adaptability of in-house legal functions.

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About the Executive Perspectives on Top Risks Survey

We surveyed 1,143 board members and executives across a number of industries and from around the globe, asking them to assess the impact of 36 unique risks on their organization over the next 12 months and over the next decade. Our survey was conducted in September and October 2023. Respondents rated the impact of each risk on their organization using a 10-point scale, where 1 reflects “No Impact at All” and 10 reflects “Extensive Impact.” For each of the 36 risks, we computed the average score reported by all respondents and rank-ordered the risks from highest to lowest impact. 

Read our Executive Perspectives on Top Risks Survey executive summary and full report below.

There will be ongoing challenges to recruit and retain qualified talent as the competition for skilled people intensifies and the pool of available workers shrinks as more workers retire without a commensurate number of people entering the workforce.

Survey

December 7, 2023

Executive Perspectives on Top Risks for 2024 and 2034

The 12th annual Top Risks Survey report highlights top-of-mind issues for directors and executives around the globe over the next year - 2024 - and a decade later – 2034.

Leadership

Charles (Chad) Volkert is the Global Solutions Leader for Protiviti Legal Consulting, and a member of the firm's Global Solutions Leadership team. He brings more than 22 years of legal optimization and executive management experience to his clients in the United States ...

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